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  • April 20, 2025- Turning Point: How to Read and Respond to the Bear Market Cycle
February 16, 2018  |  By admin In Intraday Market Commentary

February 16, 2018 – Intraday

salinas-grandes-jujuy-province-argentina.adapt.945.1

JUJUY PROVINCE, ARGENTINA

Jujuy Province in northwest Argentina is the country’s interface with the desert: a land remote, arid, and dramatically handsome. An ever changing palette of light, shadow, and color transforms Jujuy (pronounced hoo-hooey) into a photographer’s paradise. The striking salt flats of Salinas Grandes, pictured here, are mined through rectangular pools.

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Markets Will Be closed on Monday for President’s Day. We will publish the Weekly Report on that day- Monday, February 19, 2018

===================================================================================

“If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs…Yours is the Earth and everything that’s in it” Rudyard Kipling

The play is always the same. Only the actors change” Anonymous

 “Veritas Nunquam Perit”- “The Truth Never Perishes” Seneca (the younger)

“It was never my thinking that made big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!” J. L. Livermore

=======================================================================

Primary Trend: Bull Market

Intermediate Term: ~ Seven Sentinels Downtrend 0/7/ 2-2-12-18 SPX 2762

Short Term Slow: ~ STS 6/1 Downtrend 1-30-18/10 AM- SPX 2835

Hourly: ~ HTT 5/2 Downtrend 1-30-18, 10 AM- SPX 2835

Current Position: 30% SPXU, 30% TZA, 20% SQQQ, 5% UVXY. Stops: SPXU 9.76, SQQQ 16.48, TZA 11.29, UVXY 13.1

Tracking Account $1,000,000 on June 10, 2010, Valuation $1,447,042, +5.3% YTD 2018 Vs. SPX +2.5% YTD

===============================================================================

2:20... Breaking news today that for the first time has provided a direct indication from the Federal Prosecuter, Robert Mueller, that in fact, there was a co-ordinated operation run by the Russian Government to attempt to impact the US Preidential Election in 2016- has been impacting markets starting an hour ago. An indictment of 13 specific Russian Nationals has been handed down. The implication that impacts markets is that this indictment opens the door for further charges against any Americans that may have been involved, if any, though NONE were named in today's indictment.

Meantime, the DJIA is now -5, SPX -1 and COMPQ is -20. Seven of the top ten Momentum issues are lower.

VIX has turned higher and VIX ETFs are sharply higher- by about +5% on average as SVXY is down nearly -3%.

We may add to UVXY towards the end of the session.

Regular Weekly Report MONDAY

12:35... The rally off the lows of last week has continued into the noon period today as the DJIA is +165, SPX +16 and COMPQ +33 at this hour.

Five of ten of the top Momentum issues are higher, five lower. VIX is lower by 8% while VIX ETFs are -2.6% and SVXY is +1.7%.

Trend measures remain just as they were at the earlier recap. TRIN is 1.00.

10:35... Markets are higher in the first hour as the DJIA is +62, SPX +4, COMPQ +16 and breadth is +500/+700. RUT is +0.37%.

Of the top ten Momentum issues, five are higher led by GOOGL at +1.2% and five are lower led by BIIB at -2%.

VIX is bullish -3.7% while VIX ETFs are bearish at +0.15% on average. SVXY is bearish at -0.08%.

HTT remains U/T at 6/1 and STS U/T at 7/0 while the Sentinels remain D/T at 2/5

9:15 AM.... The DJIA is indicated +30 at this 9 AM writing as SPX is +2 and COMPQ is +5. The Russell 2000 is +0.11%.

Of the top ten Momentum issues, five are higher led by PCLN at +2.85% and five are lower led by NFLX at -0.72%.

VIX is lower by 1/2%, but the VIX ETF array are all higher by an average of +3% and SVXY is lower at -1.9%.

We will update trend measures on Twitter after the open and will assess internals and trends after the first hour.

 

 
 
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    • Bear Market Will Bottom When We Reach OPPOSITE Of 2020-21
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